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OPINION

Fiscal deficit will trigger 2026 crisis

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 19/02/2026

» If readers want to be fully convinced that there will be a financial crisis in 2026, I can do that in three minutes. Readers need only look at the last two columns of the attached table, which depict the financing situation of the Thai economy in 2025 (actual) and 2026 (projected).

OPINION

In an uncertain world, gold is a comfort

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 05/02/2026

» With Thai citizens heading to the polls this Sunday to decide which party will form the next government, I have decided to postpone my article on the economic crisis for another two weeks.

OPINION

Thailand must manage debt to progress

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 22/01/2026

» This article may be read as a continuation of my previous piece, Year of the Debt. That article focused mainly on household debt, which has already risen beyond the ability of Thai consumers to repay.

OPINION

Little cause for optimism in year ahead

News, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 09/01/2025

» One would expect the first article of the year to be about economic predictions. I will certainly do that but not in today's article. It will be in my next one. The reason being that my predictions will not be as positive as those of others.

OPINION

Thaksin's 'vision' might be outdated

News, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 05/09/2024

» This article is not meant to diminish the brilliance of the spiritual leader of the Pheu Thai Party, former prime minister Thaksin Shinawatra. It is to demonstrate that, despite his immense knowledge and vast experience, Thailand's current economic problems are caused by structural deficiencies and cannot be resolved by traditional stimulus measures. One needs a good understanding of economic principles to approach the problems correctly.

OPINION

Soft or hard landing for Thai economy?

News, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 08/02/2024

» Personally, I am sure the Thai economy will crash this year. I can even estimate the time when the crash will start. It is likely to be the month of May as several big economic bombs will explode that month. Confirmation of this belief came in December 2023's economic data. The most disturbing part is industry's capacity utilisation rate of 56.2% (seasonally adjusted), which is the second lowest in the world. The world's lowest is Nigeria!

OPINION

Why do I smell tom yum kung cooking?

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 10/08/2023

» Readers who follow my bi-weekly economic column will have no doubt that the tom yum kung I am referring to is not a traditional Thai soup dish but the financial crisis of 1997.

OPINION

Whoever takes office will inherit a mess

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 15/06/2023

» The election result is clear and the MOU to form a 312-seat government in the 500-seat parliament is agreed. But who will lead Thailand and its economy for the next four years is unclear. Whether it will be a pro-equality government, pro-growth government, or even a pro-big-spending government remains in doubt.

OPINION

Part 1: The country needs to change

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 09/03/2023

» Before I start the article, I would like to report that Thailand's economic performance in January 2023 was no better than the last quarter of 2022, when GDP growth was merely 1.4%.

OPINION

Changing Thailand: a series (prologue)

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 23/02/2023

» Before I start talking economic jargon filled with figures, let me explain Thailand's economic situation in plain language.