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OPINION

Fiscal deficit will trigger 2026 crisis

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 19/02/2026

» If readers want to be fully convinced that there will be a financial crisis in 2026, I can do that in three minutes. Readers need only look at the last two columns of the attached table, which depict the financing situation of the Thai economy in 2025 (actual) and 2026 (projected).

OPINION

Policy options for an overvalued baht

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 25/12/2025

» This is the last article of 2025. I have to thank readers for following my articles throughout the years. I believe I wrote my first article for the Bangkok Post in January 2020. So, it has been a five-year collaboration with the paper. Thank you, Bangkok Post.

OPINION

Why gold matters in a changing world

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 13/11/2025

» After reading my previous article, "Thailand has become the sick man of Asean", a good friend asked me what would happen to the Thai economy after becoming the sick man?

OPINION

The baht is almost as good as gold

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 18/09/2025

» The baht is undoubtedly the strongest currency in the region. Over this year, the baht has appreciated 4.45% against the dollar while the Vietnamese dong has depreciated 8.47%.

OPINION

1% GDP growth impacts will be severe

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 21/08/2025

» Where did I get the idea that GDP growth in the second half of 2025 would only be 1.0%? The answer is the government, as the National Economic and Social Development Council (NESDC) told me so.

OPINION

The economy is waiting to hit an iceberg

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 20/03/2025

» This is not a scene from the 1997 film Titanic. On the evening of April 14th 1912, a small Canadian fishing boat, skippered by a French-Canadian captain called "Jacques-Chai", approached the Titanic wanting to convey a very important message to Captain Edward Smith. The message was that there was a sea of icebergs, one was particularly big, about 200 miles ahead.

OPINION

Thailand's financial system on the brink

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 20/02/2025

» The issue of a financial crisis hitting Thailand is of grave importance. If it happens, it will push the Thai economy back by five years, triggering indescribable pain and suffering.

OPINION

Will Thailand's economy cheat death?

News, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 23/01/2025

» 'He and the other survivors have briefly cheated death, but will not be able to evade their fate for very long." A movie buff will know this comes from Final Destination and the "he" in the quote refers to Alex Browing, the movie's main character.

OPINION

Data paints economy as 'black hole'

News, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 12/12/2024

» I am known for being pessimistic about the Thai economy. Apart from encouraging official economic growth figures of 1.6% in Q1, 2.2% in Q2, and 3.0% in Q3, I do not think anyone can be optimistic about the economy. It is obvious that GDP data and the actual economic situation do not go hand in hand. It is beyond my comprehension that the non-performing loan (NPL) level rose 14.1% in Q3 while the economy expanded 3.0%. Shouldn't it be the opposite when debtor's income rises?

OPINION

BoT ought to revise exchange rate policy

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 26/09/2024

» This is not the usual time slot for my article. My articles are usually published every other Thursday. The next one was for Oct 3. However, I feel that the "too strong" Thai baht requires immediate attention.