Showing 1 - 8 of 8
Thailand has lost its last growth engine
Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 29/05/2025
» Thailand has lost its last engine of growth and people are abandoning hope for a decent life.
Thai-US trade talks are likely to fail
Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 15/05/2025
» Don't get too excited over news the temporary trade deal between China and the US will mean friendly negotiations with other countries. The US government still aims for higher import tax income to narrow its monstrous fiscal deficit. As explained in a previous article, Donald Trump would love to see an average tariff rate of around 20% or higher on imports. Higher customs revenue already allowed the US to achieve a budget surplus of US$258 billion (8.5 trillion baht) in April. The figure incorporates only a 10% universal tariff, as full reciprocal tariffs were postponed for 90 days from April 8. Just imagine how nice the US budget position would be with 20% or more import tariff revenue?
Part 1: The country needs to change
Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 09/03/2023
» Before I start the article, I would like to report that Thailand's economic performance in January 2023 was no better than the last quarter of 2022, when GDP growth was merely 1.4%.
In the end, economic theories prevail
Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 02/06/2022
» I have made several dire predictions for the Thai economy this year such as high inflation, a liquidity crisis, interest rate hikes, bank collapses, a currency run, and, of course, an economic recession.
Get past the Thai-China trade deficit
Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 16/09/2021
» This is not a China bashing article. The idea for today's article started when the Minister of Foreign Affairs and Speaker of the House cautioned Thais, the press, and members of parliament against criticising Chinese Covid-19 vaccines as it might upset the Thai-China relationship.
Virus plus oil crisis spells recession
Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 12/03/2020
» All economists, including myself, predict the spread of Covid-19 will put a big brake on economic growth through reductions in spending, particularly on travel. Assuming the virus outbreak lasts for about six months, the lower spending will likely last until the fourth quarter. Countries like Thailand, which depend heavily on foreign tourist revenue, will be hurt the most.
New Year economic wishfulness
News, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 02/01/2020
» 'Nothing comes from nothing. Nothing ever could." Of course, many will recognise these song lyrics from the motion picture The Sound of Music. But this phrase actually dates back to ancient Greece and the time of Aristotle. It is a foundation of all science: nothing can be created out of nothing. Economic science also follows this principle strictly. For a better economy, we first need a better economic environment. Thus, for a better economy this year, we need a better economic environment than in 2019. Will that be the case for Thailand?
The vicious economic cycle has begun
News, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 05/12/2019
» Do not be surprised to see the government constantly coming out with economic good news such as its claims there are more factories opening than closing and more jobs being created. Or that the government is confident the bottom has been reached and a brighter economic outlook is set for next year. It is their job to create hope, while it is also my job to give readers the real economic picture. These pieces of information are accurate but, unfortunately, their stories do not go along with the real numbers. And remember, numbers never lie.