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Search Result for “capital flows”

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OPINION

Fiscal deficit will trigger 2026 crisis

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 19/02/2026

» If readers want to be fully convinced that there will be a financial crisis in 2026, I can do that in three minutes. Readers need only look at the last two columns of the attached table, which depict the financing situation of the Thai economy in 2025 (actual) and 2026 (projected).

OPINION

2026 will be a year of debt struggles

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 08/01/2026

» Forget GDP growth. Forget tourist arrivals. Forget export figures. In 2026, Thailand's overriding economic challenge will not be growth but debt repayment.

OPINION

Policy options for an overvalued baht

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 25/12/2025

» This is the last article of 2025. I have to thank readers for following my articles throughout the years. I believe I wrote my first article for the Bangkok Post in January 2020. So, it has been a five-year collaboration with the paper. Thank you, Bangkok Post.

OPINION

The baht is almost as good as gold

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 18/09/2025

» The baht is undoubtedly the strongest currency in the region. Over this year, the baht has appreciated 4.45% against the dollar while the Vietnamese dong has depreciated 8.47%.

OPINION

Problems await the new BoT governor

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 04/09/2025

» The first problem incoming Bank of Thailand (BoT) governor Vitai Ratanakorn will face is political uncertainty.

OPINION

Thailand has lost its last growth engine

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 29/05/2025

» Thailand has lost its last engine of growth and people are abandoning hope for a decent life.

OPINION

Rate cut helps the BoT, not the economy

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 06/03/2025

» On Feb 26, the Bank of Thailand's (BoT) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) cut its policy interest rate by 0.25%, lowering it to 2.0%.

OPINION

Thailand's financial system on the brink

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 20/02/2025

» The issue of a financial crisis hitting Thailand is of grave importance. If it happens, it will push the Thai economy back by five years, triggering indescribable pain and suffering.

OPINION

Will Thailand's economy cheat death?

News, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 23/01/2025

» 'He and the other survivors have briefly cheated death, but will not be able to evade their fate for very long." A movie buff will know this comes from Final Destination and the "he" in the quote refers to Alex Browing, the movie's main character.

OPINION

Data paints economy as 'black hole'

News, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 12/12/2024

» I am known for being pessimistic about the Thai economy. Apart from encouraging official economic growth figures of 1.6% in Q1, 2.2% in Q2, and 3.0% in Q3, I do not think anyone can be optimistic about the economy. It is obvious that GDP data and the actual economic situation do not go hand in hand. It is beyond my comprehension that the non-performing loan (NPL) level rose 14.1% in Q3 while the economy expanded 3.0%. Shouldn't it be the opposite when debtor's income rises?