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OPINION

2026 will be a year of debt struggles

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 08/01/2026

» Forget GDP growth. Forget tourist arrivals. Forget export figures. In 2026, Thailand's overriding economic challenge will not be growth but debt repayment.

OPINION

Little cause for optimism in year ahead

News, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 09/01/2025

» One would expect the first article of the year to be about economic predictions. I will certainly do that but not in today's article. It will be in my next one. The reason being that my predictions will not be as positive as those of others.

OPINION

BoT, govt may have wrong inflation data

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 17/10/2024

» At the time of writing (Tuesday), the Bank of Thailand's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) had not met to decide on the policy interest rate which is currently set at 2.50%. The panel was scheduled to meet yesterday and the committee was under pressure to lower the rate by 25 basis points. The pressure arises from many months of low inflation rates and the recent strong Thai baht. Several central banks in the region have cut their policy interest rates for those two reasons. The latest one is the Bank of Korea.

OPINION

Digital wallet tokens could hit scheme

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 08/08/2024

» I bet the government never thought of this when they thought of the Digital Wallet scheme. It probably does not make sense to it that there could be millions of people shunning pseudo money, namely Digital Wallet Tokens (DWTs). Perhaps, in the government's mind, a DWT is almost on a par with genuine money -- fiat money.

OPINION

Downsides to digital cash handout plan

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 21/09/2023

» I announced in a previous article that today's story would focus on liquidity and debt. But after careful consideration, I have decided to postpone this for another fortnight. The main reason being that I want to wait for the Bank of Thailand's economic data release for August due out on Sept 29.

OPINION

New govt faces 4 economic time bombs

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 18/05/2023

» The election result is already out and Thailand is heading for a big policy change. As the party with most seats, the Move Forward Party will form the government. The second place-getter -- the Pheu Thai Party -- has agreed to be in the coalition. These two parties, however, have totally different views on how to run the economy.

OPINION

A new middle class and core industries

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 04/05/2023

» This article, after a few interruptions, is Part 3 of "Changing Thailand: The Series." It began with a prologue that presented an overview, emphasising that Thailand has been lagging behind its neighbours in terms of per-capita income growth.

OPINION

B600 minimum wage is quite doable

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 15/12/2022

» The most debated economic topic of the month must be Pheu Thai Party's campaign promise to raise the minimum wage to 600 baht per day by 2027, from the current minimum wage of 354 baht.

OPINION

How are Thais spending so much now?

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 01/12/2022

» Third-quarter GDP growth for 2022 (Q3/2022) is 4.5% -- substantially higher than the expected 4%. The main driving factor is robust private consumption -- not tourism income -- which expanded 9% in real terms and 15.7% in nominal terms, compared to the same quarter last year. On the surface, this high growth phenomenon may look normal as most Asean countries have enjoyed similar benefits of low Covid infections and pent-up demand. For instance, Malaysia's private consumption also expanded 15.7% in the same third quarter.

OPINION

Economic growth in 2022 no mean feat

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 10/02/2022

» Most economic research houses, government and private, projected Thailand would see GDP growth of 3.5-4% this year. Even the Joint Standing Committee of Commerce, Industry, and Banking, an organisation representing Thai business entities, supported that range.