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OPINION

Risk of crisis growing more acute

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 05/03/2026

» This article is a follow-up to my previous piece titled "Fiscal deficit will trigger 2026 crisis". In that article, I argued Thailand's heavy dependence on external liquidity, combined with the government's need for 860 billion baht annually to finance its deficits, would lead to a severe liquidity shortage and, ultimately, a financial crisis.

OPINION

In an uncertain world, gold is a comfort

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 05/02/2026

» With Thai citizens heading to the polls this Sunday to decide which party will form the next government, I have decided to postpone my article on the economic crisis for another two weeks.

OPINION

Is a return to gold standard possible?

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 11/12/2025

» We are now in the middle of the holiday season. Therefore, I will refrain from writing about heavy and depressing issues like the Thai economy and the outlook for 2026 and beyond. In this moment of joy, I will write about the possibility of returning to the gold standard, which some supporters say can be seen in central banks aggressively buying gold bullion to replace the dubious US dollar. The last article of the year will be about the Sovereign Wealth Fund (SWF).

OPINION

Financing FY 2026 deficit will fall short

News, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 12/06/2025

» My message is short, loud and clear. There will not be enough money to finance FY 2026's 860 billion baht budget deficit. Without enough money, the budget will collapse and take the economy down with it. The government is learning the bitter lesson of drying up finance sources now, but budget financing will be in crisis in the 2026 fiscal year.

OPINION

Backing Trump on tariffs, not on tone

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 17/04/2025

» I'm not a Donald Trump supporter. On the contrary, I dislike the US president for his abrasive behaviour. For Mr Trump, everything is nothing but numbers. Compassion has no meaning in his dictionary.

OPINION

Making sense of performance figures

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 31/10/2024

» I have the duty of reviewing quarterly economic performances and making economic growth projections for a private research firm.

OPINION

How to finance the 2025 fiscal budget

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 27/06/2024

» The 2025 fiscal budget is supposed to be historic, aiming to turn around the sagging Thai economy. But it is going by almost unnoticed. The first reading of the Budget Bill passed with an overwhelming "yes" vote of 311 to 175. The debates were subdued and made few headlines. The second vote is expected on Aug 3. After passing the third vote by the House of Representatives, the 2025 budget will go to the Senate for final approval.

OPINION

Debt crisis looms as politicians fiddle

News, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 29/06/2023

» While politicians are fighting for power to rule this country, the economy may unknowingly be entering a debt crisis. There was a piece of news a couple of weeks ago which passed without much notice amid sizzling political stories. It was news of the automobile loan default problem.

OPINION

Changing Thailand: a series (prologue)

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 23/02/2023

» Before I start talking economic jargon filled with figures, let me explain Thailand's economic situation in plain language.

OPINION

Economic risks to watch out for in 2023

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 29/12/2022

» The world will end 2022 with big celebrations. Yet not because of robust economic growth, as growth this year is projected to be only 3.2% -- following the International Monetary Fund's (IMF) recent projections -- compared to 6.0% growth in 2021.