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OPINION

Govt may not have stimulus plan tools

News, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 16/10/2025

» Nowadays, governments around the world sound like movie production houses. They always come up with catchy slogans for their policies, like Donald Trump's Big Beautiful Bill.

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OPINION

Making Cambodia pay for border row

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 02/10/2025

» What I am covering today is a sensitive issue that all economic research houses, both government and private, avoid talking about. That is the economic impact of the border dispute between Thailand and Cambodia.

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OPINION

Trump tariffs spell trouble for Thailand

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 14/11/2024

» Readers must have read a few articles or listened to numerous analyses of US President-elect Donald Trump's trade protectionism policy and its impact on the world economy, particularly China. But this could be the first genuinely economic-oriented analysis of Mr Trump's policy, emphasising issues relevant to Thailand. Readers could find that an economic approach would give new insights into this much talked about topic.

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OPINION

BoT, govt may have wrong inflation data

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 17/10/2024

» At the time of writing (Tuesday), the Bank of Thailand's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) had not met to decide on the policy interest rate which is currently set at 2.50%. The panel was scheduled to meet yesterday and the committee was under pressure to lower the rate by 25 basis points. The pressure arises from many months of low inflation rates and the recent strong Thai baht. Several central banks in the region have cut their policy interest rates for those two reasons. The latest one is the Bank of Korea.

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OPINION

Stimulus packages need paradigm shift

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 03/10/2024

» Ever wonder why Thailand's economic growth is consistently lower than its peers? Even with a flood of foreign tourists of 28.1 million (154.4% growth) in 2023, our GDP growth was 1.9% compared to 5.5% in the Philippines, 5% in both Indonesia and Vietnam, and 3.7% in Malaysia. The growth figure for the first half of this year of 1.9% is far worse than many of our Asean friends.

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OPINION

Digital wallet tokens could hit scheme

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 08/08/2024

» I bet the government never thought of this when they thought of the Digital Wallet scheme. It probably does not make sense to it that there could be millions of people shunning pseudo money, namely Digital Wallet Tokens (DWTs). Perhaps, in the government's mind, a DWT is almost on a par with genuine money -- fiat money.

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OPINION

Stark reality behind economic figures

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 16/05/2024

» At the time of writing this, the official Q1 GDP has not been announced by the National Economic and Social Development Council (NESDC). I expect the growth figure will be around 1.2%. My own estimation, using the Output Approach and actual sectoral production index, gives a growth figure of 0.98%. Detailed data are in the below table.

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OPINION

Structural flaws impede our economy

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 21/03/2024

» It took Japan 17 years to learn that a macroeconomic policy is for stabilising an economy, not stimulating growth. Due to low economic growth in the "lost decade" following the financial crisis in the autumn of 1997, the Bank of Japan adopted an unthinkable monetary policy of a negative interest rate in 2007 by pushing the short-term policy rate down to -0.1%.

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OPINION

Liquidity shortage a big risk for govt

News, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 16/11/2023

» Liquidity is the most ignored issue in economics. Liquidity is considered to be like "oxygen" which is readily available when needed and, thus, has no intrinsic value.

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OPINION

Pheu Thai's cash handouts a likely flop

Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 24/08/2023

» The title of this article says it all. Pheu Thai Party's flagship economic stimulus policy of handing out 10,000 baht to all Thais aged above 16 years old, with an estimated cost of 560 billion baht, will most likely fail to stimulate (or jump-start) the economy from the recent economic slump.