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OPINION

Impacts of Iran war on Southeast Asia

Oped, Thitinan Pongsudhirak, Published on 20/03/2026

» For the most part, Southeast Asia as a region has taken a neutral stance toward the joint attack between the United States and Israel against the Islamic Republic of Iran. Even the Philippines and Thailand, two formal US treaty allies, have distanced themselves, calling for restraint and de-escalation.

OPINION

Trump tariffs sow divisions in Asean

Oped, Thitinan Pongsudhirak, Published on 02/05/2025

» President Donald Trump's unilateral imposition of tariffs across the United States' economic chessboard poses a critical test for Asean. As the regional organisation of Southeast Asia, Asean has weathered many geopolitical and geoeconomic storms in its 58-year existence, but no adversity like the Trump tariffs. Unless Asean reorganises and regroups, the ten-member body risks further divisions and increasing irrelevance.

OPINION

Remembering a journo like no other

Oped, Thitinan Pongsudhirak, Published on 04/04/2025

» Gwen Robinson was a quintessential journalist who probed for the best scoop and pried for the juiciest gossip, an old-style old hand the likes of which we are unlikely to see again. In the new contentious era of geopolitical conflict and geoeconomic tension underpinned by American economic nationalism, Robinson's journalist craft over more than four decades explaining and linking Asia and the West will be sorely missed.

OPINION

Myanmar's civil war after four years

Oped, Thitinan Pongsudhirak, Published on 31/01/2025

» Four years after its military coup and consequent civil war, Myanmar's spotlight in global headlines continues to dim as geostrategic reorientations and realignments among the major powers take centre stage. Dramatic and drastic foreign policy changes are afoot in the United States under the second administration of President Donald J Trump, while the European Union faces an existential threat from Russia's aggression in Ukraine, and Japan is mired in political sclerosis at home. Myanmar's fate and future will thus likely be determined by the course and outcome of its civil war, China's expanding influence in the country and Asean member states' manoeuvres to a lesser extent.

OPINION

Srettha confronts myriad of challenges

News, Thitinan Pongsudhirak, Published on 22/09/2023

» As the coalition government of Prime Minister Srettha Thavisin gets going, it faces multiple daunting challenges, from public expectations and policy deliverables to the maintenance of political stability.

OPINION

Geopolitical takeaways from SEA meets

Oped, Thitinan Pongsudhirak, Published on 25/11/2022

» Southeast Asia's summit season has come and gone with takeaways that concurrently eased geopolitical tensions and underlined risks that could lead to future global conflict. The three major summits -- the East Asia Summit (EAS) in Phnom Penh, the G20 in Bali, and the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (Apec) in Bangkok -- also demonstrated that the Covid-19 pandemic over 2020-21 has been practically overcome as in-person meetings are back in full force. Overall, the three hosts came away with mixed highlights.

OPINION

Thai charter changes without reform

Oped, Thitinan Pongsudhirak, Published on 25/06/2021

» In view of the ongoing parliamentary debate about constitutional revisions, it has become the consensus that the 2017 charter is flawed and in need of change. At issue is the nature and extent of charter amendments. What is being proposed can be categorised into three positions -- those favouring amendments without fundamental reforms and others who want reforms with all necessary amendments, with some advocating measures in between. Owing to the powers of incumbency, status quo proponents aligned with the coalition government of Prime Minister Prayut Chan-o-cha are likely to carry the day, thereby stoking political tensions to manifest on the horizon.

OPINION

Geopolitical outcomes beyond Covid-19

Oped, Thitinan Pongsudhirak, Published on 15/05/2020

» The coronavirus crisis is on course to significantly reshape and realign the pecking order among nations in geopolitics. Rather than a fundamental shift in patterns and contours, the likely geopolitical outcomes beyond Covid-19 appear to reinforce pre-existing trends and dynamics. As the two competing superpowers, neither the United States nor China will come out of the pandemic period with flying colours.

OPINION

What to look for in Thai election results

News, Thitinan Pongsudhirak, Published on 22/03/2019

» Elections are often a referendum on incumbencies. Voters are asked whether they like what they have seen from government and whether they want continuity or change in view of competing alternatives. In the same vein, Thailand's momentous election on March 24, after a nearly eight-year hiatus that includes almost five years under military-authoritarian rule, is an opportunity to see what the governed prefer to have as their government. Here are some of early telltale signs that portend the political directions ahead.

OPINION

'My country's got' these socio-political ills

News, Thitinan Pongsudhirak, Published on 02/11/2018

» The explosive Rap Against Dictatorship music video that has taken Thailand by storm has raised myriad socio-political questions and issues. Known in Thai as Prathet Ku Mee, the sensational music video has been viewed on YouTube more than 25 million times in just 10 days in a country of 69 million people, a feat in its own right and a record for its artistic kind in Thailand. How this five-minute rap song in the Thai language has done so much says a lot about where Thailand has been and where it is going.