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Search Result for “risks”

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OPINION

America risks grand folly in Iran war

Oped, Thitinan Pongsudhirak, Published on 06/03/2026

» It is just the first week of the joint attack between the United States and Israel on the Islamic Republic of Iran, but the repercussions from the Middle East for the Indo-Pacific are already discernible.

OPINION

Domestic drivers of bilateral conflict

News, Thitinan Pongsudhirak, Published on 19/12/2025

» The latest flare-up and intensification of the armed conflict between Thailand and Cambodia should be understood less as a new crisis and more as a resumption of a bilateral clash that erupted in late July.

OPINION

Asean's regroup requires deep reforms

Oped, Thitinan Pongsudhirak, Published on 17/10/2025

» If Asean's 58 years thus far have been about resilience and playing a central organising role in promoting regional security and stability, its next decade will determine whether the Southeast Asian bloc can adapt and remain relevant. After the crises in Myanmar and along the Thai-Cambodian border, Asean's credibility has never been more in doubt. To regain its effectiveness as Southeast Asia's one and only agency, Asean needs to move away from the ritualistic diplomacy of mundane meetings to far-reaching reforms that chart new ways of making things work.

OPINION

Flawed Asean needs to regain footing

Oped, Thitinan Pongsudhirak, Published on 10/10/2025

» Nearly six decades after its founding, the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (Asean) finds itself back where it began -- divided, uncertain, and vulnerable to the influence of major powers. Once hailed as a model for regional cooperation in the developing world, Asean now faces a crisis of purpose. Unless it can rediscover the unity and collective way forward that defined its early decades, Southeast Asia's flagship institution risks slipping into irrelevance.

OPINION

Anutin's new cabinet is a mixed bag

Oped, Thitinan Pongsudhirak, Published on 26/09/2025

» The composition and size of Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul's 36-member cabinet suggest that he intends to stay in office for as long as possible, clinging to the terms of the government-enabling Memorandum of Agreement (MOA) and calling an early election only if circumstances make it unavoidable.

OPINION

Thailand's costly political shenanigans

Oped, Thitinan Pongsudhirak, Published on 22/08/2025

» In a country of 70 million where a handful of men can remove an elected government time and again, there can be no stability and progress, only tension and regression. This is how Thailand can be characterised over the past two decades. It is now going through yet another cycle of heightened political instability with the potential collapse of the government under suspended Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra in the footsteps of previous leaders who were similarly ousted by the Constitutional Court.

OPINION

Trump tariffs sow divisions in Asean

Oped, Thitinan Pongsudhirak, Published on 02/05/2025

» President Donald Trump's unilateral imposition of tariffs across the United States' economic chessboard poses a critical test for Asean. As the regional organisation of Southeast Asia, Asean has weathered many geopolitical and geoeconomic storms in its 58-year existence, but no adversity like the Trump tariffs. Unless Asean reorganises and regroups, the ten-member body risks further divisions and increasing irrelevance.

OPINION

Uyghurs deportation a strategic risk

Oped, Thitinan Pongsudhirak, Published on 07/03/2025

» Regardless of official spin, the government's decision to deport 40 Uyghurs to China was a strategic mistake on multiple levels.

OPINION

Trump's tariff blackmail boosts Brics

Oped, Thitinan Pongsudhirak, Published on 06/12/2024

» Even before officially taking office, United States President-elect Donald J Trump is shaking up the international system with drama and fanfare unlike any other major leader in recent memory. His most recent outburst to slap 100% tariffs on the "Brics" countries -- Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa, as well as Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran and the United Arab Emirates -- is a case in point. While it will coerce developing economies to think twice about the cost of going their own way, this tariff blackmail and others like it also risk pushing smaller countries away from the US to other rival big powers, particularly China.

OPINION

Foreign policy needs to be democratic

Oped, Thitinan Pongsudhirak, Published on 11/10/2024

» To the extent that foreign policy starts at home, Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra's latest diplomatic forays should be supported because Thailand has become a regional laggard with its international standing at an all-time low. Elected civilian leaders by the people, as opposed to unelected appointees from military-conservative elites, are the way ahead to regain Thailand's international profile and forward movements. Ms Paetongtarn is evidently not the first-best elected outcome, but she is all Thailand has to work with for now.