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Search Result for “geopolitical risks”

Showing 1 - 10 of 97

OPINION

Domestic drivers of bilateral conflict

News, Thitinan Pongsudhirak, Published on 19/12/2025

» The latest flare-up and intensification of the armed conflict between Thailand and Cambodia should be understood less as a new crisis and more as a resumption of a bilateral clash that erupted in late July.

OPINION

Asean's regroup requires deep reforms

Oped, Thitinan Pongsudhirak, Published on 17/10/2025

» If Asean's 58 years thus far have been about resilience and playing a central organising role in promoting regional security and stability, its next decade will determine whether the Southeast Asian bloc can adapt and remain relevant. After the crises in Myanmar and along the Thai-Cambodian border, Asean's credibility has never been more in doubt. To regain its effectiveness as Southeast Asia's one and only agency, Asean needs to move away from the ritualistic diplomacy of mundane meetings to far-reaching reforms that chart new ways of making things work.

OPINION

Flawed Asean needs to regain footing

Oped, Thitinan Pongsudhirak, Published on 10/10/2025

» Nearly six decades after its founding, the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (Asean) finds itself back where it began -- divided, uncertain, and vulnerable to the influence of major powers. Once hailed as a model for regional cooperation in the developing world, Asean now faces a crisis of purpose. Unless it can rediscover the unity and collective way forward that defined its early decades, Southeast Asia's flagship institution risks slipping into irrelevance.

OPINION

Anutin's new cabinet is a mixed bag

Oped, Thitinan Pongsudhirak, Published on 26/09/2025

» The composition and size of Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul's 36-member cabinet suggest that he intends to stay in office for as long as possible, clinging to the terms of the government-enabling Memorandum of Agreement (MOA) and calling an early election only if circumstances make it unavoidable.

OPINION

Thailand's costly political shenanigans

Oped, Thitinan Pongsudhirak, Published on 22/08/2025

» In a country of 70 million where a handful of men can remove an elected government time and again, there can be no stability and progress, only tension and regression. This is how Thailand can be characterised over the past two decades. It is now going through yet another cycle of heightened political instability with the potential collapse of the government under suspended Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra in the footsteps of previous leaders who were similarly ousted by the Constitutional Court.

OPINION

Thailand's false sense of tariff security

Oped, Thitinan Pongsudhirak, Published on 30/05/2025

» Thailand is in deeper trouble among its peer group in view of United States President Donald Trump's tariff offensive. Yet senior Thai officials appear nonchalant, complacent and smug. They seem to think Thailand will come out of the US tariff war in good shape as the Trump administration will prove unable to go through with its hefty import duties. The domestic political battle between the US executive and judicial branch -- with the Court of International Trade's injunction this week on most of the Trump tariffs -- further adds to the absurd sense of security and false perception of Thailand's importance by Thai officials.

OPINION

Trump tariffs sow divisions in Asean

Oped, Thitinan Pongsudhirak, Published on 02/05/2025

» President Donald Trump's unilateral imposition of tariffs across the United States' economic chessboard poses a critical test for Asean. As the regional organisation of Southeast Asia, Asean has weathered many geopolitical and geoeconomic storms in its 58-year existence, but no adversity like the Trump tariffs. Unless Asean reorganises and regroups, the ten-member body risks further divisions and increasing irrelevance.

OPINION

Remembering a journo like no other

Oped, Thitinan Pongsudhirak, Published on 04/04/2025

» Gwen Robinson was a quintessential journalist who probed for the best scoop and pried for the juiciest gossip, an old-style old hand the likes of which we are unlikely to see again. In the new contentious era of geopolitical conflict and geoeconomic tension underpinned by American economic nationalism, Robinson's journalist craft over more than four decades explaining and linking Asia and the West will be sorely missed.

OPINION

Uyghurs deportation a strategic risk

Oped, Thitinan Pongsudhirak, Published on 07/03/2025

» Regardless of official spin, the government's decision to deport 40 Uyghurs to China was a strategic mistake on multiple levels.

OPINION

What's happened to the Asian Century?

Oped, Thitinan Pongsudhirak, Published on 14/02/2025

» Until recently, the "Asian Century" seemed a compelling narrative but now it is not what it used to be. It was supposed to herald a shift in global economic power from the West to the East, driven by China's rapid rise, India's economic dynamism, and the broader development of Asia. But a quarter of the way into the 21st century, the promise of Asian dominance appears less certain. The enduring technological and economic might of the United States, coupled with its geopolitical backlash against China, has lowered expectations. While Asia remains formidable, the trajectory of global power is open and fluid, with potential dominance shifting not necessarily to any nation or region but perhaps to a non-state entity.