Showing 1 - 8 of 8
Cloudy global skies, sunshine for the Thai economy
Business, Piyasak Manason, Published on 27/09/2023
» In the fourth quarter of 2023, InnovestX Securities expects the global economy to slow down significantly, with three main themes:
The end of The Great Moderation
Business, Piyasak Manason, Published on 28/07/2022
» It could be said that the era of economic normalcy is over. For about two decades before the 2008-09 global financial crisis, we witnessed what economists came to call "The Great Moderation" -- an era of moderate economic growth, low inflation, low interest rates and improved fiscal discipline. The US dollar was relatively weak while other currencies such as the yen, euro, yuan and even the baht appreciated.
Three headwinds for the global economy
Business, Piyasak Manason, Published on 23/10/2021
» In the past few months or so, several headwinds have emerged in the world economic arena. We have seen a sharp increase in commodity prices, including natural gas, crude oil, and coal, which has reached US$240 a tonne from about $70 last year. The result has been an electricity generation deficit in the biggest emerging economies such as China and India.
Vaccines + stimulus = overheating + inflation?
Business, Piyasak Manason, Published on 27/02/2021
» Global economic indicators announced recently for the final quarter of last year have confirmed our view that economic recovery is still gaining momentum. Fourth-quarter GDP, compared to the previous year, in China, Japan, the United States, Thailand and even the euro zone continued to recover from the strongest contraction in decades in the second quarter.
Light at the end of the tunnel could be a train
Business, Piyasak Manason, Published on 28/11/2020
» After nearly a year of unexpected global economic and investment derailment, we are beginning to see a glimpse of hope from a new and stable US president and the approaching availability of one or more vaccines that will put an end to the pandemic.
The world after Covid
Business, Piyasak Manason, Published on 27/06/2020
» The second quarter of 2020 has seen a divergence between the investment world and real economic conditions. Despite a recent uptick, the global economy is still contracting: the IMF has just downgraded its global GDP forecast to -4.9% from -3.0%.
Coping with three crises
Business, Piyasak Manason, Published on 28/03/2020
» Humanity is facing three crises at the same time: a public health crisis, an economic crisis and a financial crisis. Since these three crises are intertwined, to stop any one of them, we must stop the source.
Investors finding their sweet spot
Business, Piyasak Manason, Published on 23/11/2019
» For global investors, the sun has been shining for the last two months. Stock indices have gained between 1% and 8%, with developed markets rising the most, and many equity markets are closing in on all-time highs.