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  • News & article

    Soft or hard landing for Thai economy?

    News, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 08/02/2024

    » Personally, I am sure the Thai economy will crash this year. I can even estimate the time when the crash will start. It is likely to be the month of May as several big economic bombs will explode that month. Confirmation of this belief came in December 2023's economic data. The most disturbing part is industry's capacity utilisation rate of 56.2% (seasonally adjusted), which is the second lowest in the world. The world's lowest is Nigeria!

  • News & article

    Why do I smell tom yum kung cooking?

    Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 10/08/2023

    » Readers who follow my bi-weekly economic column will have no doubt that the tom yum kung I am referring to is not a traditional Thai soup dish but the financial crisis of 1997.

  • News & article

    Debt crisis looms as politicians fiddle

    News, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 29/06/2023

    » While politicians are fighting for power to rule this country, the economy may unknowingly be entering a debt crisis. There was a piece of news a couple of weeks ago which passed without much notice amid sizzling political stories. It was news of the automobile loan default problem.

  • News & article

    Pheu Thai's giveaway might just work

    Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 20/04/2023

    » If one plans to read only one economic analysis article for this year, this is it.

  • News & article

    Part 1: The country needs to change

    Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 09/03/2023

    » Before I start the article, I would like to report that Thailand's economic performance in January 2023 was no better than the last quarter of 2022, when GDP growth was merely 1.4%.

  • News & article

    World economy downhill from here

    Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 17/11/2022

    » When I planned for this week's article, I wanted to write about the illusions of today's economic picture such as the robust GDP growth in emerging economies, declining inflation rates, booming travel business, strengthening of the Thai baht, and so on. But even with the economic data and theories to back up my claims, who would believe me? Who would believe that the current robust demand is nothing but an example of short-term, pent-up demand after two years of the Covid-19 outbreak? Who would consider the fact that consumers have no increased purchasing power to sustain today's level of consumption? Most of all, who would imagine that things would change drastically in the fourth quarter after consumers face the reality of a higher cost of living and stagnant income?

  • News & article

    Risk of global financial crisis spiking

    Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 03/11/2022

    » I am writing this article in Tokyo. Judging from my walks around the city during the past week, and despite the fact everyone is wearing face masks, it's like Covid has vanished. Subways and trains are jam-packed and shopping areas are full of people. However, the pandemic has left some scars. Many shops have gone under, including my favourite 50-year-old sushi restaurant.

  • News & article

    An Asean country might be near a crisis

    Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 20/10/2022

    » I am talking about an imaginary country which is a member of Asean. This country may or may not exist. To avoid unnecessary negative repercussions, this country shall remain nameless and be referred to as country "N" with its currency "D". This country is the star of Asean with a 5-year average GDP growth rate of 7% prior to the Covid outbreak.

  • News & article

    Fed's rate rises might have way to go yet

    Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 28/07/2022

    » By the time this article is published, readers will know how much the US Fed funds rate has been raised for the fourth time this year. It does not really matter whether the rate is raised by 0.75% or 1% this time because the Fed will need to keep raising the rate (FFR) until it can effectively control inflation.

  • News & article

    China, US woes will spell Thai gloom

    Oped, Chartchai Parasuk, Published on 18/11/2021

    » On Nov 10, there was a drama in the international financial market. DMSA, a German financial market watchdog, issued a press release stating that China Evergrande Group defaulted on interest payments to international investors and was preparing bankruptcy proceedings.

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